Monday, June 18, 2007

capturing trend days

capturing trend days
http://www.traderslog.com/capturing-trend-days.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conditions Preceding a Trend Day Several key price patterns can serve as alerts to the potential for significant range expansion:
NR7 -- the narrowest range of the last 7 days (Toby Crabel introduced this term in his classic book, Day Trading With Short-term Price Patterns and Opening-range Breakout);
a cluster of 2 or 3 small daily ranges;
the point of a wedge-type pattern (which usually exhibits contracting daily ranges);
a Hook Day (wherein the open is above/below the previous day's high/low -- and then the price reverses direction;
the range must also be narrower than the previous day's range; leads traders to believe that a trend reversal has occurred, whereas the market has instead only formed a small consolidation or intraday continuation pattern);
low volatility readings, based on such statistical measures as standard deviations or historical volatility ratios or indexes;
large opening gaps (caused by a large imbalance between buyers and sellers);
runaway momentum (markets with no resistance above in an uptrend or no support below in a downtrend.
This condition differs from the above setups in that volatility has already expanded. In a momentum market, however, the huge imbalance between buyers and sellers continues to expand the trading range!)

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