你们不要压力太大哟！ 小心得癌症

你们不要压力太大哟！ 小心得癌症。
================================

长期从事电脑工作的人，由于辐射和室内工作环境的影响，
很容易产生身体的免疫系统衰弱，各种的癌症就会发生。

建议大家做到以下几点：
１。工作减压，不要把名利看得太重，
“三分天注定，七分靠打拼”， 也说明了有３０％不是靠
人的努力决定的，是运气。

２。每天坚持 半小时以上的有养运动，出汗为止，
提高身体的免疫机能。

３，均衡的饮食：荤素搭配，不要偏事物，不要酗酒和抽烟。
“你年轻是不注意身体， 过中年身体就不注意你了。”

“留得身体在，股票总能赚！”

美国市场上所有的 ETF 列表

US Indexes
DIA Dow30
DDM Dow30 2x long
DOG Dow30 short
DXD Dow30 2x short

ONEQ Nasdaq

QQQQ Nasdaq100
QLD Nasdaq100 2x long
PSQ Nasdaq100 short
QID Nasdaq100 2x short

OEF SP100
IOO SP100 Global

SPY SP500
SSO SP500 2x long
SH SP500 short
SDS SP500 2x short
IVV SP500
IWV SP500 Growth
IVE SP500 Value

MDY SP400
IJH SP400
MVV SP400 2x long
MYY SP400 short
MZZ SP400 2x short
IJK SP400 Growth
IJJ SP400 Value

IJR SP600
SDD SP600 2x short
IJT SP600 Growth
IJS SP600 Value

IWB Russell1000
IWF Russell1000 Growth
SFK Russell1000 Growth 2x short
IWD Russell1000 Value
SJF Russell1000 Value 2x short
BGU Russell1000 3x long
BGZ Russell1000 3x short
ERX Russell1000 Energy 3x long
ERY Russell1000 Energy 3x short
FAS Russell1000 Financials 3x long
FAZ Russell1000 Financials 3x short

IWM Russell2000
UWM Russell2000 2x long
TNA Russell2000 3x long
RWM Russell2000 short
TWM Russell2000 2x short
TZA Russell2000 3x short
IWO Russell2000 Growth
SKK Russell2000 Growth 2x short
IWN Russell2000 Value
SJH Russell2000 Value 2x short

IWV Russell3000
IWZ Russell3000 Growth
IWW Russell3000 Value

IWC Russell MicroCap
IWR Russell MidCap
IWP Russell MidCap Growth
SDK Russell MidCap Growth 2x short
IWS Russell MidCap Value
SJL Russell MidCap Value 2x short

VTI Vanguard Total Market
VUG Vanguard Growth
VTV Vanguard Value
VV Vanguard Large Cap
VO Vanguard MidCap
VB Vanguard SmallCap
VBK Vanguard SmallCap Growth
VBR Vanguard SmallCap Value

PWB Dynamic Large Cap
PWJ Dynamic MidCap Growth
DVY Dow Select Dividend

RSP Rydex SP Equal Weight

Word Indexes
EWA Australia
EWO Austria
EWK Belgium
EWZ Brazil
BIK BRIC 40
EWC Canada
FXI China
GXC China
PGJ China
CHN China
FXP China 2x short
EEB BRIC
EWQ France
EWG Germany
EWH Hong Kong
INP India
IFN India
EWI Italy
EWJ Japan
EWV Japan 2x short
EWM Malaysia
EWW Mexico
RSX Russia
EWS Singapore
EZA South Africa
EWY South Korea
EWP Spain
EWD Sweden
EWL Switzerland
EWT Taiwan
EWU United Kingdom

ILF Latin American 40
EPP Pacific ex-Japan
VGK European
FEZ Euro STOXX 50
IEV Europe 350
VEA Europe Pacific
VEU All World ex-USA
VPL Pacific
IOO Global 100

EEM Emerging Markets
VWO Emerging Markets
ADRE Emerging Markets 50
EUM Emerging Markets short
EEV Emerging Markets 2x short

PID Int'l Dividend Achievers

Commodities
XLB Materials
IYM Basic Materials
SMN Basic Materials 2x short
GSG Commodities
RJI Commodities
DBC Commodities
RJA Commodities - Ag
DBA Commodities - Ag
UCD Commodities 2x long
CMD Commodities 2x short

GDX Gold
GLD Gold
IAU Gold
DGP Gold 2x long
UGL Gold 2x long
DZZ Gold 2x short
GLL Gold 2x short

SLV Silver
AGQ Silver 2x long
ZSL Silver 2x short

XME Metals & Mining
IGE Natural Resources
SLX Steel
KOL Coal
DBB Base Metals

PHO Water Resources
CGW Claymore SP Global Water

IYE Energy
XLE Energy
OIH Oil Services
XOP Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
DIG Oil & Gas 2x long
DUG Oil & Gas 2x short
USO United States Oil
IEO US Oil & Gas
UNG United States Natural Gas
UCO Crude Oil 2x long
SCO Crude oil 2x short

US Sectors
PPA Aerospace & Defense
KBE Banks
IAT "Banks, Regional"
KRE "Banks, Regional"
RKH "Banks, Regional"
BBH Biotech
XBI Biotech
BDH Broadband
IAI Broker-Dealers
KCE Capital Markets
PBW Clean Energy
XLY Consumer Discretionary
SZK Consumer Goods 2x short
IYC Consumer Services
SCC Consumer Services 2x short
XLP Consumer Staples
IYG Financial Services
IYF Financials
VFH Financials
XLF Financials
UYG Financials 2x long
SKF Financials 2x short
MOO Global Agribusiness
XLV Health Care
RXD Health Care 2x short
IHF Healthcare Provider
ITB Home Construction
XHB Home Construction
XLI Industrials
SIJ Industrials 2x short
VGT Information Technology
KIE Insurance
HHH Internet
IAH Internet Architecture
IBB Nasdaq Biotech
IGN Networking
PPH Pharmaceutical
IYR Real Estate
RWX Real Estate
URE Real Estate 2x long
SRS Real Estate 2x short
ICF Realty Majors
RWR REIT
VNQ REIT
RTH Retail
XRT Retail
IGW Semiconductors
SMH Semiconductors
SSG Semiconductors 2x short
IGV Software
SWH Software
IGM Technology
IYW Technology
XLK Technology
REW Technology 2x short
IYZ Telecom
TTH Telecom
IYT Transports
UTH Utilities
XLU Utilities
SDP Utilities 2x short

Currencies
FXA Australian Dollar
FXB British Pound Sterling
FXC Canadian Dollar
FXE Euro
FXY Japanese Yen
FXM Mexican Peso
FXS Swedish Krona
FXF Swiss Franc
ULE Euro 2x long
EUO Euro 2x short
YCL Yen 2x long
YCS Yen 2x short

Fixed Income
AGG Aggregate Bond
BND Total Bond Market
BWX Intl Treasury Bond
IEF Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
LQD Invest Grade Corp Bond
SHY 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
TIP TIPS Bond
TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond

三倍杠杆ETFs：BGU TNA ERX FAS v.s. BGZ TZA ERY FAZ

The new triple leveraged Direxion funds:
* (BGU) Bull 3x Shares Large Cap
* (TNA) Bull 3x Shares Small Cap
* (ERX) Bull 3x Shares Energy
* (FAS) Bull 3x Shares Financial　　
－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－
* (BGZ) Bear 3x Shares Large Cap
* (TZA) Bear 3x Shares Small Cap
* (ERY) Bear 3x Shares Energy
* (FAZ) Bear 3x Shares Financial
These 3 beta ETFs are created for pros, sophisticated investors and active ST/DTers to hedge or leverage their trading power. Obviously, they are not made for the faint of heart due to the extreme price volatility.

Price Action

Very important advice from hypostomus! Draw these support and resistance lines in your chart before you even take a trade, Dobbes. The 15m, 1h, and daily charts will help you to identify them. To learn price action you need a little background information:The market is a battleground for buyers and sellers. These two opposing groups come together every day and challenge each other to gain and retain control over the market. Now if you wake up one morning seeing that price is aggressively moving down, obviously sellers possess ferocious power. Going long, or even scalping on the long side is thus more challenging. If price is being rejected at resistance, sellers are starting to gain control and buyers will not come in until support is reached. Those minor swings you observe on the way down are just reactions, nothing more. They are not buying opportunites! You can observe this cycle in any market and this knowledge is what an experienced trader exploits to make a fortune.Thoroughly read through what I wrote above again and you have a jumpstart toward learning price action. Now comes your screen time. Practice, practice.

mark1

11-22-07 09:46 AMDisclaimer, the stuff I'm about to write is more an internal dialogue than anything else, Hope someone will find it helpful, ignore the awful English ;-)A few thoughts about AHG: So you were lucky enough to find a great guy (Anek), who in the spirit of sharing , wanted to teach you a system in other words he gave you for free his edge.Then how do you proceed in order to learn and become proficent with this sys?First the easy part (no disrispect Anek, you know as an experienced trader, I'm telling the truth).Learn to recognize a market structure HH HL & LH LL (MS)with a glance , at this stage it doesn't matter if your base chart shows a MS in a downtrend and your anchor chart shows a retracement of an uptrend, stick with your base chart and learn to spot the freaking MS, can you count to 4? End of the course...say what?Yup once you are gone through all the madness of trying to refine the basic system , because you are farking always looking for the perfect sys aren't you? Yup the one that never fails and gives you 100 winners out of 100 trades (c'mon make me laugh and tell me it's not true. I tell you what is true ,even if your head tells you it's not possible, your subconscious is always trying to outsmart the system), you' ll go back to lesson 1 and you realize it was really all you needed to know, but using this knowledge with discipline and truly accepting the concept of propabilities, is the difference between a winner and a loser. So the long journey is almost unavoidable.More about this later.Ok MS is now crystal clear, what's next , Supports and Resistances these are the core of trading , if you think about it each pattern each structure is the product of support and resistance, buying low selling high, shorting high covering low. Price action.A confirmed support or resistance is made by price rejected at the same area where it formed a previous pivot point.Once Resistance is violated it becomes possible Support, it becomes confirmed support when the price is rejected at the same area. Flip the concept for Support.DoubleTops, Double Bottoms and their failure, easy concept right? no need to explain further.W's and M's, very similar to DB and DT , ok good.Head & Shoulder and failure <---- you need screentime to recognize this powerful formation, it's well worth it.Triangles, Coils, Wedges whatever you name them, you know what they look like, we showed a lot here, you have seen how brutal they can be...kaboom :-)Congestion, Trading Ranges, Rectangular formation, you've seen them, you know you expect a breakout/down. Trendlines and Channels, a trend line is formed when you can draw a diagonal line between two or more price pivot points these alone give you an edge, I' ve seen traders making a living just by selling and buying trendline breaks,and I've seen traders making a living just by buying and selling trendline rejections, if you want to know how to draw channels with points 1,2,3 , I'll post a chart.Ok , now you know all the weapons in your arsenal, so you should be a winner , no problem....Slow down warrior that was the easy stuff.

11-22-07 09:46 AM
Disclaimer, the stuff I'm about to write is more an internal dialogue than anything else, Hope someone will find it helpful, ignore the awful English ;-)A few thoughts about AHG: So you were lucky enough to find a great guy (Anek), who in the spirit of sharing , wanted to teach you a system in other words he gave you for free his edge.Then how do you proceed in order to learn and become proficent with this sys?First the easy part (no disrispect Anek, you know as an experienced trader, I'm telling the truth).Learn to recognize a market structure HH HL & LH LL (MS)with a glance , at this stage it doesn't matter if your base chart shows a MS in a downtrend and your anchor chart shows a retracement of an uptrend, stick with your base chart and learn to spot the freaking MS, can you count to 4? End of the course...say what?Yup once you are gone through all the madness of trying to refine the basic system , because you are farking always looking for the perfect sys aren't you? Yup the one that never fails and gives you 100 winners out of 100 trades (c'mon make me laugh and tell me it's not true. I tell you what is true ,even if your head tells you it's not possible, your subconscious is always trying to outsmart the system), you' ll go back to lesson 1 and you realize it was really all you needed to know, but using this knowledge with discipline and truly accepting the concept of propabilities, is the difference between a winner and a loser. So the long journey is almost unavoidable.More about this later.Ok MS is now crystal clear, what's next , Supports and Resistances these are the core of trading , if you think about it each pattern each structure is the product of support and resistance, buying low selling high, shorting high covering low. Price action.A confirmed support or resistance is made by price rejected at the same area where it formed a previous pivot point.Once Resistance is violated it becomes possible Support, it becomes confirmed support when the price is rejected at the same area. Flip the concept for Support.DoubleTops, Double Bottoms and their failure, easy concept right? no need to explain further.W's and M's, very similar to DB and DT , ok good.Head & Shoulder and failure <---- you need screentime to recognize this powerful formation, it's well worth it.Triangles, Coils, Wedges whatever you name them, you know what they look like, we showed a lot here, you have seen how brutal they can be...kaboom :-)Congestion, Trading Ranges, Rectangular formation, you've seen them, you know you expect a breakout/down. Trendlines and Channels, a trend line is formed when you can draw a diagonal line between two or more price pivot points these alone give you an edge, I' ve seen traders making a living just by selling and buying trendline breaks,and I've seen traders making a living just by buying and selling trendline rejections, if you want to know how to draw channels with points 1,2,3 , I'll post a chart.Ok , now you know all the weapons in your arsenal, so you should be a winner , no problem....Slow down warrior that was the easy stuff. To be continued
11-22-07 12:23 PM
Part 2If you have been following this thread it should be quite clear that buying and selling a confirmed MS is really all you need to do to make money, yes there are refinements like pattern recogniton and tape reading, sure.Yes I'm pretty bold here and I challenge you, go back and look at 3 months of 1000v or even 1 minute charts and buy and sell every confirmed MS HH-HLx2 LL-LHx2 you see on your chart, heck give it some margin and apply1 point of slippage to enter and 1 points to exit plus commissions. (man your execution sucks ).Define a rule to enter a trade (engulfing bar, break of n ticks below/above previous pivot, choose one...) and stick with it, ALWAYS.Close your position only when the trend has confirmed a reversal with a MS on the opposite direction.Skip the dead zone(11:30,14:00), not compulsory though.Yup you have several small losses, several B/E and a few huge winners, in the end you are profitable (gee just like Anek said...)Ok now you start papertrading, because you need to internalize the system, your execution has to be flawless, but something unexpected happens. You are not able to stick to the plan, you are counting every tick like this was the trade of your life, you just experienced a streak of small losing trades and you are not able to click the T button again. You enter a trade and you see a few $$ in your P&L and you feel the urge to close the trade, you actually sell without a real confirmation of change of the trend. Sometimes you think you were smart, because you saved a few points, but when the real move comes you are out way to soon and all the points you saved now are just peanuts compared to what you missed.Jesus, so what do you do? You start again, you read everything you can about the market, you study market analysis with obsession, you add (god forgive you) a new indicator, heck let's make it 3 new indicators. "If i know everything there's to know about the market I won't experience a streak of losses, that's my goal. Losing is an awful feeling, I want to avoid that with all my strenght, I want to be right, that's what my parents, my friends, the freaking society taught me, I need to be right to be succesful." ( Dead of a trader)Man and this is only papertrading, think what will happen when money is on the line.So how do we shut down this internal voice?I'll try to define with the help of Mr. M Douglas what an edge is and the probability game.Let's start from the beginning.What's the market? At its basic level the mkt is a series of up and down tics that form patterns and MS.You recognize these patterns and you know that there is a higher probability the mkt will move in one direction over the other, this is your edge.But here is where the problem lies, a pattern in our subconscious implies a consistent outcome, but the reality is each pattern is a unique moment of the mkt, it may look exactly like other patterns you have seen before, but the underlying force behind a pattern are traders, and traders who contribuite to the formation of one pattern and their rational to enter a trade, are always different from the previous pattern.Remember it takes just one trader, just one to produce a failed pattern or a confirmed pattern, how can you expect to know what the outcome of that particular, unique trade is if just one trader can change everything, you can try to learn all the TA you like you can try to read the minds of all the traders in the mkt (good luck with that)You don't know what the outcome of one trade will be, nobody knows, you don't know if the next trade will be a winner or a loser, nobody knows.What does it mean? It means that the distribuition of winning and losing trades is random, it means the outcome of a pattern/trade is completely random relative to one another.You should start thinking like a Casino or a professional gambler, they know they have an edge even a small one (i think a casino has about a 3-4% edge, not sure about the precise figure), they don't try to predict or know in advance the outcome of each individual event, they know that given a large enough number of events their edge will work.Once you truly internalize this concept, the fear of trading will go away and you'll let the mkt tell you what to do, you 've entered the ZONE. (yes it sounds easy ehe, 5 % can make it, it's not easy)I'm not talking about you, you. I'm talking about the little sucker inside you, the one who tries to predict the future, the one who knows that the nasdaq is going to tank if it goes to 2100, the one who swear at the end of the day because it was scared to trade the never ending trend. You have an edge, trade the farking edge.geez I'm good

熊市获利的锐利武器 -- 11 种超反向EFTs

上周五由于出乎预料的 Job Report 触发了大盘大跌。新年开始的第一周，三大指数已经分别累计下跌了：Dow 13261/12800 -461 -3.4%, S&P 1467/1411, -56， -3.8% Nasdaq 2653/2504, -150, -5.6% 创下了多年来第一周下跌的新纪录。这波跌势，可以追索到去年10月上旬。更危险的是主要市场指数都跌破了各自的关键支撑，而市场情绪还远未达到极端，Rydex Nova/Ursa Ratio (牛/熊基金）在一周多前还创了新高。种种迹象表明这种趋势还将继续较长时间。TA 和波段周期分析表明这一波跌势会持续到三月底。市场的运动总是波澜起伏的，但总趋势是跌多涨少，直到第一季度末。从更大的范围看，这波下降还是6 年牛市的中期调整，（从去年十月算6 个月）从第二季度开始，市场会逐步恢复，并在年底之前再创新高。

面对中期小型熊市，投资者不应惊慌，而要做好应变的准备。提高现金水平，少动多看，将资金转到抗跌的板块中去。这些都是常用的措施。但都是被动的。覆巢之下，焉有完卵？虽然是少跌，但还是会跌，无处可藏。这里介绍一个以攻为守的主动方法，在熊市中会更有效果。
在熊市获利的锐利武器就是超反向ETFs ( Exchange Trading Fund) 下面的 11 种ETFs 都是Beta 2 的超反向ETFs。即指数或正向基金跌一点， 超反向ETFs 涨两点。相信其中的一些 ETF 很多人已经知道了。不要小看这些 超反向ETFs，如果应用得当，也会获利惊人的。以昨天为例：Dow -1.98%, S&P -2.46%, QQQQ -4.3%, RUT - 3.14% , 而相应的超反向EFTs 获利回报为：大盘指数超反向EFTs 1/4/08 一天的回报
QID Ultrashort QQQQ +3.55/42.45 +9%
TWM Ultrashort Russell 2000 +5.11/78.49 +6.94%
SDS Ultrashort S&P500 +2.63/57.85 +4.76%
DXD Ultrashort Dow 30 +2.17/53.65 +4.22%MZZ Ultrashort MidCap400 +3.15/59.8 +5.56%

再看 TWM, SDS, QID 三个月的表现，从10/4 到 1/4 它们的回报分别为：27%，17%，和 10.5% （见图）
TWM, SDS, QID 三个月回报率比较

专业板块超反向EFTs 1/4/08 一天的回报
SSG ultrashort semiconductor +7.36/70.25 11.7%
REW UltraShort Technology +5.10/60.90 +9.05%
EEV UltraShort Emerging Mrkts +4.93/78.99 +6.51%
SRS UltraShort Real Estate +7.56/127.25 +6.32%
SKF UltraShort Financials +5.8 /112.29 +5.42%
SCC ultrasort consumer +4.2/96 +4.6%

专业板块超反向EFTs 的回报更是惊人，以SRS, SKF 和 SSG 为例，从十月起，三个月的回报分别为：55%，52% 和 38% （见图) 实际上，Real Estate 板块已经进入熊市两年，Financials 板块也已经进入熊市十个月了。要择机入市并不难。
SSG, SKF, SRS 三个月回报率比较

Monday: Market ClosedTuesday: Earnings Before: ABK**, BAC**, CSX, DD, FITB, JEC, JNJ**, UNH, WB Earnings After: AAPL**, NSC, TXN Eco: Richmond Fed

Wednesday: Earnings Before: ABT, COH, COP, DAL, GD, LUV, MOT**, PFE**, STJ, UTX Earnings After: COF, EBAY, GILD, SOV, SYMC Eco: Mortgage applications

Thursday: Earnings Before: DHR, F**, KMB, LEN, LMT, NOK, T**, TXT, XRX Earnings After: AMGN**, BRCM, ETFC, JAVA, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT** Eco: Existing Home Sales

Friday: Earnings Before: CAT**, HOG, HON** Earnings After: NONE

2008 -- 石油，黄金， 美元,人民币及其它。。。

原油今天终于见到了长久期盼的 $100/b. 虽然只有两个lot, 是做出来的，但近期就会见到收在 $100 以上的日子。 虽然在2008 年的某一天，也许会见到 $120 的原油，但到达 $100 后，原油的向下校正也就不会远了。 原因是原油的高价，不是因为供需关系失衡产生的，而是由美元贬值，地缘政治紧张，等非供需关系引起的，因此，不会持久。 今天的黄金价格在股市大跌中大涨，反映了对金融危机和经济的不确定性的恐慌。黄金越来越成为美元的替代品而备受青睐。只要弱势美元的国策不改变，美元贬值的趋势不止，黄金价格就会持续上涨。2008 黄金价格破 $1000 已经浮上了台面。（但近期也面临调整。）美元的跌势在 2008 会继续。Fed 和 美国财长保尔森并没有计划让美元坚挺。也没有切实可行的计划做到这一点。只要双赤字继续，美元的颓势就不会扭转。中国的GDP 高速发展会支撑人民币继续升值，2008 会破 ￥7 vs $1 大关。但RMB 升值会对劳动力密集的中小出口企业造成很大压力。又由于美国经济的缓慢增长，将对中国的经济发展产生负面影响，最终将在09年的上半年明显影响 GDP 发展，引发全球性经济的衰退。对，说的是09年不是08 年 。08年到三月底以前都是跌势，之后会好的让人不可置信。牛市会维持到09年初，但那是最后的一冲。八年的牛市行将完结。真正的全球性经济衰退是从09年第二季度开始。中国在经历了30年高速增长后，也将第一次面对经济缓慢增长，甚至停滞不前的考验。美国经济则将深陷泥潭。

青蛙的思路 VS. MM的思路

发信人: vankie (似水流年), 信区: Stock标 题: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Tue Nov 13 23:21:10 2007)1. 这是一轮比8月更为猛烈的correction, down trend已经形成，暂时不要奢求反转。2. 严重超跌的市场，未有整理的情况下200日线击穿，VIX高于30。。。这样的市场在200日线附近借消息面发生报复性反弹，属于正常现象，不需要过分解释。3. OE周机构有将股价一定程度拉起杀扑的动机，消息面也有所支持，因此本周料不会出现新低。4. 今日反弹量能不足（昨天是veteran's day，因此不作为参考），下盘不稳。5. 这波反弹可能以大盘10日线和双顶颈线为主要阻力，点位区间为NAZ 2705附近，DOW13450附近。那么操作主线也就不言而喻。发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 01:07:48 2007)错!错!错!--发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 01:29:27 2007)【 在 vankie (似水流年) 的大作中提到: 】: 哦，大侠给俺纠纠错？一看就没玩过熊市...走熊的特点: 买, 必套之... 绝无获利的机会...偶今天盘前进AAPL @ 160.7, 反手卖单放在161.99; BIDU IN @ 310, 反手卖单放在了313.9...一眨眼... 走了... 不得不在卖出价之上追回...若走熊... 今天这样的高开, 必成套, 决不会高打高走... 让DT有获利的机会, 所以,跳高是为轧空... 高收是逼空, 明天继续跳高轧空... 高收逼空, 今,明,后三天80%的可能是三连阳, 而且是巨大的那种阳线...让满手CASH的踏空者...往股长叹...任何盘中的所利筹码, 出了就拿不回...BIDU 今天涨$40, 收盘你敢进吗? 不敢, 那好... 明天再拉$40...你的追吗...不敢...接着上... 过$430 后再整理...然后... 一到两周后, 再拉升...--发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 01:34:20 2007)【 在 blueyaun (sky) 的大作中提到: 】: 到14000整个downtrend都破了:(然后, 你就追了... 然后,向下及杀...哇, 妈妈啊... 三重顶... 逃命...割肉...你割完... 一个旱地拔葱...新高...你又踏空...哈哈....--发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 01:42:06 2007)【 在 lOOkg (胖仔@幼儿园小班) 的大作中提到: 】: Orz: 受益匪浅: GS三连阳且几乎没有overlap是不是也是这个道理?: ..大跌之后... 个个吓破苦胆... 有钱的不敢买... 浅套的, 解套就逃, 小利的抓了就跑...乐坏了MM,一边拉一边收便宜筹码...GS, 明天新高... 4周内$300+...--发信人: ichappysky (波波), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 01:46:58 2007), 转信GS 300 我不知道。这个心理分析实在是很到位。我作为一个青蛙正在经历这样的心理煎熬【 在 qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月) 的大作中提到: 】: 大跌之后... 个个吓破苦胆... 有钱的不敢买... 浅套的, 解套就逃, 小利的抓了就跑: ...: 乐坏了MM,一边拉一边收便宜筹码...: GS, 明天新高... 4周内$300+...发信人: qiuzhihaoyue (秋之皓月), 信区: Stock标 题: Re: 综述一下俺本周的思路发信站: BBS (Wed Nov 14 02:03:00 2007)【 在 shakeham (傻咸) 的大作中提到: 】: 这个有点悬了: 连续跳空三连阳: 兵书中记载的强庄股杀空大法: 可是为什么您能肯定他们会祭出此招？: 杀空杀多很多招，想听听秋大为什么认定此计: ..前4天的直泻...奠定这三天的急拉....嘿嘿...上下左右4面抽, 抽的你一败涂地...

转个秋老大的帖

My short list:AAPL/GOOG/RIMM/AMZN/EDU/ISRG/DRYS/GRMN/CME/NYX/BIDUYes, I short everything above upper BB, except ADR names related to PTRMy long list:KBH/USG/TOL/C/WFR/GS/BSC/LEH/CAT/AIG/ACH/LDK/RCH/PTR/SNP/CEO/NTES/FFIV/ATHN/COP/HNP/SBUX/MPEL/LFTYes, I buy everything sitting near 200EMA or below lower BB, and hold until they move back to upper BB for sell…I am very patient, and as long as I believe what I have is a solid company…I can hold until it gives me a nice profit…1 year… or 5 year… what ever works for me…I only do profit taking… never cut my legs… this is the way how option works… the money I initially put in is the max risk I am facing…The one you think is a trash… I pick it up, and hold wait until it shining again; when everyone else is chasing those trash I picked up a while back… I sell those, and searching for the new trashes you guys are dumping…today,then sell them back to you when they are shining again…Haha… I am not a HH, just an ugly trash pick-up guy wondering outside of your house and searching jewelries in you guys’ trash cans…Most people does throw out their treasures when they are in a bad mood…

炒股铁律，照着做，赢多亏少！(

1、只买上升轨道的股票，不买下降轨道的股票，如果股票一直在上升轨道，就永远持有，永远不要卖！
2、在上升轨的下沿买进股票，然后持有，到上升轨发生明显的变化，卖出。
3、局面复杂看不清的股票，千万不要进去，柿子捡软的捏，炒股也一样。
4、不要把所有的钱一次性买进同一只股票，即便你非常看好它，而且事后证明你是对的，也不要一次性买进。总有可能买得更低，或者有更好的机会买进。
5、如果误买了下降通道的股票，赶紧卖出，避免损失扩大。
6、如果没有损失，也赶紧退出观望。
7、不是上升通道的股票，根本不要看。管它将来怎么样，不要陪主力去建仓。没时间陪他们耗着。
8、赢钱时加仓，输钱时减码，如果你不想死的快而想赚得块，这是唯一的方法。
9、不要相信业绩，那只代表过去，不代表将来。
10、炒股是炒将来，不是过去。
11、不要幻想老是去做短线，每天进进出出。股票不是*，频繁进出，可能给你带来快感，但会让你损失很多的钱，唯一受益的是证券公司，而且你不会有那么高的水准，你也不是庄家。不要买太多的股票，最好不要超过五只。你没有那么多精力看着她们。如果你想娶五个老婆，即便你身体够好，你也满足不了你的老婆们。韦小宝的故事只发生在小说里。
12、股票很便宜了，跌了很多了，不是你买入的理由，永远不是！！！他还可能更加便宜！！！！
13、股票很贵了，涨了很多了，也不是你拒绝买入或者卖出的理由。他还可能涨得更高！！！！！最后一点，股票不是你生活的全部，你还有你的家庭，还有你的事业，还有你的爱情，他们比你的股票更加宝贵。多陪陪他们，少陪陪股票。钱是永远赚不完的，但很多东西一旦失去了，就永远不再回来！！！！

gohstrader--SMI crossover

Always glad to help where I can. The top paintbar is simply comparing itself the previous bar close. The bottom bar is a 12/25/3/3 SMI crossover. the SMI (Stoch Momentum Indicator) basically defines the short term trend while the top paintbar gives u a precise entry. I use this along with an automated buy/sell program with a fixed/progressive tick stops and exits. If you notice the chart I am using either 0.5 or 1.0 rangebars candlesticks.

The reason I do this is because it always affords me the opportunity to trade profitably even while a choppy market with whippy 1,3,and 5 minute bars are stopping people out.

There are those that will tell you that sure, you can make money this way, but it will cost u a fortune in commisions. I have to laugh at them after I show them that trading 6-9 contacts at a gain of .50 to 1 point a car far outweighs the loss of the same contract one might trade in a whipsaw market. At least this is what works for me. I also now enter 3, 3, and 3 cars and scale out at pre-determined tick level depending on the market trend for that day and it works for me and my trading personality.

Good Trading to you and hope this helps.-GT

YTD Performance Ranking of U.S.-Listed Chinese Stocks

YTD Performance Ranking of U.S.-Listed Chinese Stocks (8/21/2007)
Below is the ranking of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks and ETFs based on year-to-date performance, by the end of Tuesday, August 21, 2007:
Ranking
Ticker
Name
8/21/2007
End of 2006
YTD Performance
1
TSL
Trina Solar
46.08
18.90
144%
2
CEA
China Eastern Airlines
48.05
21.78
121%
3
ZNH
China Southern Airlines
44.95
20.45
120%
4
JRJC
China Finance Online
9.30
4.45
109%
5
SYUT
Synutra International
25.99
12.50
108%
6
MHJ
Man Sang Holdings
10.00
4.94
102%
7
ACH
Aluminum Corp. of China
42.34
23.50
80%
8
BIDU
Baidu.com
197.46
112.69
75%
9
YZC
Yanzhou Coal Mining
70.81
40.54
75%
10
CAF
MS China A Sh. Fund
50.06
31.00
61%
11
HRBN
Harbin Electric
12.94
8.05
61%
12
EDU
New Oriental Education
49.66
33.54
48%
13
JADE
LJ International
6.38
4.35
47%
14
MR
Mindray Medical Int'l
32.31
23.92
35%
15
CHL
China Mobile
56.70
43.22
31%
16
SVA
Sinovac Biotech
3.04
2.33
30%
17
SINA
Sina Corp.
37.31
28.70
30%
18
GIGM
GigaMedia
12.27
9.77
26%
19
SNDA
Shanda
26.91
21.67
24%
20
CTRP
Ctrip.com
38.61
31.19
24%
21
SOHU
Sohu.com
29.67
24.00
24%
22
NCTY
The9
39.35
32.22
22%
23
CHN
China Fund Inc.
40.47
34.18
18%
24
LFC
China Life Insurance
59.40
50.51
18%
25
CYD
China Yuchai
8.06
6.89
17%
26
FMCN
Focus Media
38.59
33.20
16%
27
FXI
FTSE/Xinhua China ETF
129.00
111.45
16%
28
SHI
Sinopec Shanghai
56.90
49.53
15%
29
PGJ
Halter USX China ETF
24.10
20.98
15%
30
GSOL
Global Sources
18.54
16.16
15%
31
HNP
Huaneng Power Int'l
40.46
35.93
13%
32
CMED
China Medical Tech.
30.11
27.07
11%
33
CEO
CNOOC
104.89
94.63
11%
34
CHNR
China Natural Rsrcs
9.38
8.53
10%
35
YTEC
Yucheng Technologies
7.83
7.30
7%
36
CHU
China Unicom
15.89
14.89
7%
37
GSH
Guangshen Railway
35.78
33.90
6%
38
JOBS
51job
17.90
17.07
5%
39
SNP
Sinopec
95.24
92.64
3%
40
STP
Suntech Power
34.87
34.01
3%
41
ADY
American Dairy
20.20
19.80
2%
42
ASIA
AsiaInfo
7.78
7.68
1%
43
JFC
JF China Region Fund
22.65
22.80
-1%
44
TOMO
TOM Online
15.36
15.48
-1%
45
JST
Jinpan International
23.90
24.14
-1%
46
SOLF
Solarfun Power
11.20
11.69
-4%
47
PTR
PetroChina
134.80
140.78
-4%
48
CHA
China Telecom
51.98
54.40
-4%
49
ATS
APT Satellite
1.48
1.55
-5%
50
TBV
Tiens Biotech
3.63
3.93
-8%
51
CHDX
Chindex International
17.39
18.86
-8%
52
COGO
Comtech
16.66
18.19
-8%
53
CN
China Netcom
46.43
53.52
-13%
54
SMI
Semiconductor Mfg. Int'l
5.55
6.44
-14%
55
DSWL
Deswell Industries
9.77
11.40
-14%
56
CHINA
CDC Corp.
8.09
9.50
-15%
57
SEED
Origin Agritech
8.50
10.94
-22%
58
NTE
Nam Tai Electronics
11.76
15.19
-23%
59
AOB
American Oriental Bio.
8.92
11.67
-24%
60
NTES
NetEase
14.00
18.69
-25%
61
XING
Qiao Xing Univ Telephone
9.74
13.19
-26%
62
SORL
Sorl Auto Parts
6.64
9.03
-26%
63
INTN
INTAC International
5.50
7.51
-27%
64
HMIN
Home Inns & Hotel Mgmt
27.32
37.54
-27%
65
CBAK
China BAK Battery
4.57
6.52
-30%
66
CSIQ
Canadian Solar
7.30
10.48
-30%
67
PACT
PacificNet
4.26
6.18
-31%
68
LONG
eLong
8.91
13.01
-32%
69
TSTC
Telestone Technologies
4.85
8.20
-41%
70
NINE
Ninetowns Internet Tech.
2.80
4.77
-41%
71
ACTS
Actions Semiconductor
4.80
8.30
-42%
72
MPEL
Melco PBL Entertainment
12.21
21.26
-43%
73
HRAY
Hurray!
3.53
6.20
-43%
74
NWD
New Dragon Asia Corp.
1.00
1.81
-45%
75
CAAS
China Automotive Sys.
6.60
12.49
-47%
76
VIMC
Vimicro International
5.12
10.20
-50%
77
CTDC
China Tech. Development
3.83
8.03
-52%
78
GRRF
China GrenTech
8.69
18.44
-53%
79
LTON
Linktone
2.36
5.19
-55%
80
EFUT
eFuture
13.90
34.04
-59%
81
FFHL
Fuwei Films
6.34
15.80
-60%
82
CNTF
China Techfaith
4.18
10.78
-61%
83
KONG
KongZhong
3.76
9.76
-61%
84
UTSI
UTStarcom Inc.
3.04
8.75
-65%
85
CPSL
China Precision Steel
3.07
10.75
-71%
86
ASTT
ASAT Holdings
0.39
1.58
-75%
Note: This ranking excludes IPOs in 2007: ATV, CSUN, EJ, JASO, KUN, LDK, PWRD, QXM, SCR, SPRD, SSRX, TCM, WX, XFML, YGE.

RIMM Option

1，强者恒强，适者生权。牛股 rimm bidu aapl goog 正引领疯骚。一代天骄amzn ma 退居二线。 fwlt sina fmcn ,目标120 45 60都到，sina fmcn 下个目标60 80，edu ncty sohu 目标60 60 45。逢低做多yzc ach ,mpel股价太贱了[strong buy]. fig 等18-20时买，铜股中的牛魔王pcu fcx .逢低call入 sndk 50,goog 540 isrg 145 ,OE19日前出掉。
2，大盘：道与spy 500在高位做糊蝶形：即必破前期高点A创新高。那指就听捣师的。
3，等待下周如有节后回调大胆的买入随大盘创新高股。
4，大家喊股，俺跟风。俺得找找感觉，把心收回来。这次回家的路费花销不知华儿街报销吗？

RIMM, BIDU, AAPL, GOOG, AMZN, MA, FWLT, SINA, FMCN, EDU, NCTY, SOHU, YZC, ACH, MPEL, PCU, FCX.
CALL: SNDK-50, GOOG-540, ISRG-145

经典散户心态（图

The Worm and the Bird

One day a worm named wiggle came out of his hole to play with his friends. Wiggle always played with them on a Sunday morning like this one. So he crawled out of his hole and slowly walked to his best friend's house. But when he knocked on the door of his friend's house, nobody answered.

"Come out and play with me, best friend, Crawlie", said Wiggle. But still no one answered.

"Crawlie must have forgot", murmured Wiggle. So he crawled to his next best friend's house. This time when Wiggle reached his friend's house, he knocked not once but twice on the door. No one answered.

"Come out and play with me, friend Slimy", shouted Wiggle. Still no one answered.

"Slimy must have forgot too", said Wiggle. So he went home again. Back to his parents on a Sunday like this. When he got home his parents said,

"Did you find anyone to play with?"

"No, I did not", said Wiggle.

"Of course you didn't", said Wiggle's father.

"Today's Bird Day."

" What's Bird Day", asked Wiggle.

"Bird Day is when all the birds that like to eat worms come out and catch as many worms as they like. Not like regular days when they can only catch what they need to survive', said Wiggle's father.

"But can I still go out and walk", asked Wiggle.

"Yes. Just be more careful", said his mother.

"I will", said Wiggle.

Wiggle went out and walked to take in fresh air. But just then a blue jay swooped down and carried Wiggle into the high sky.

"Please don't eat me", said Wiggle.

"I'm not. I'm just trying to get all the worms I can save so they won't ge eat up by other birds", said th blue jay.

" Thank goodness", said Wiggle.

"I'll get you back to your home as soon as Bird Day is over", said the blue jay.

"Okay", said Wiggle.

As it turned out, the blue jay wasn't lying.

"What's your name", asked the blue jay when it was sending Wiggle home.

"Wiggle", said Wiggle.

"What's yours?"

"Sky", said the blue jay. Then they talked no more untill Wiggle got home. But when Wiggle got home, his parents wasn't there!

"My p-p-p-parents are gone", stammered Wiggle

"Then the birds must have ate them up too", said Sky.

"But then who will be my mother and my father", asked Wiggle.

"I will", said Sky.

"Thank you", said Wiggle.

"No problem", said Sky.

Then Wiggle and Sky lived happily forever!!!!!

成熟=daytrader=特征

成熟=daytrader=特征 (zt)
成熟=daytrader=特征 来源: 当日冲之路 于 06-10-08 05:59:46 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]
一个成熟的daytrader，不是一个赌徒。如果只有一次“market went against the positions”，就被wipe out，那就是用了高倍margin的结果。例如用高倍margin炒汇，下场多是如此。百分之十乃至百分之几百的回报是靠一笔一笔的交易积累起来的，也就是说每一天每一单赚的多赔的少，这是质，再加上每一周每一月赚的单子多赔的单子少，这是量，质和量缺一不可。而单笔盈利的增长速度应该是得益于盈利日积月累后总资金的增长，而不是靠加大margin去赌。
一个成熟的daytrader，还不仅要会并能做到控制自己的账户，不但要能控制亏损额与百分比，还要能控制赢利额与百分比，前者易而后者难，你明白原因了，你的股市心路就又前进一大步了。
一个成熟的daytrader，动用的margin会很有限，我的经验是在一倍至十二倍之间，灵活选择，机动使用，收放自如，机会好就重仓出击，狠吃一口，一杀到底。环境不好，那就浅尝即止，断尾求存。记着：太阳，每天都是新的 ！
一个成熟的daytrader，他/她的交易载体一般为大盘股（有时也可以用少量资金介入当日热点小股），而大盘股日内的波幅有限，所以在低margin的情况下，根本不存在长期稳定盈利之后突然被一两笔失误wipe out的情况。很多大盘股也更适合daytrade，QQQQ,DIA,IWM,SPY,MSFT,CSCO,INTC你一直捂着现在啥感觉？找到类似hans这样的潜力股做长线自然赚翻，但问题是这个概率有多大？
假设用50元投入,一个月回报30倍，这是用了50倍margin，所以一个月daytrade的实际回报只是60%。当然这也是非常不易，原因就是这50倍的margin，几乎没有留下任何波动的区间，承受drawdown的空间极小,必须买完就涨，空完就跌。如换成50万元的资金,同样当然不能用50倍margin去炒。其理一样。
要想成为一个成熟的daytrader高手，是一条充满艰辛的道路，我听说过百分之八十的人做daytrade不会成功，真正的成功率可能更小。
要想成为一个成熟的daytrader高手，不是读几本书或别人告诉你几条绝招便能学会，必须自己去经受这个煎熬的过程。这恐怕是地球上最难的职业之一了，一旦成功回报也很可观。
可惜大多数人在找到感觉之前便已经出局，壮志未酬账户空，只落得仰天长叹，即生我，何生华尔街了。

capturing trend days

capturing trend days
http://www.traderslog.com/capturing-trend-days.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conditions Preceding a Trend Day Several key price patterns can serve as alerts to the potential for significant range expansion:
NR7 -- the narrowest range of the last 7 days (Toby Crabel introduced this term in his classic book, Day Trading With Short-term Price Patterns and Opening-range Breakout);
a cluster of 2 or 3 small daily ranges;
the point of a wedge-type pattern (which usually exhibits contracting daily ranges);
a Hook Day (wherein the open is above/below the previous day's high/low -- and then the price reverses direction;
the range must also be narrower than the previous day's range; leads traders to believe that a trend reversal has occurred, whereas the market has instead only formed a small consolidation or intraday continuation pattern);
low volatility readings, based on such statistical measures as standard deviations or historical volatility ratios or indexes;
large opening gaps (caused by a large imbalance between buyers and sellers);
runaway momentum (markets with no resistance above in an uptrend or no support below in a downtrend.
This condition differs from the above setups in that volatility has already expanded. In a momentum market, however, the huge imbalance between buyers and sellers continues to expand the trading range!)

不用指标的看盘高手的方法总结

不用指标的看盘高手的方法总结(zhuan tie)

我从不使用奇怪的指标线，５日、１０日、３０日等等规则的均线系统才对我更有用，能方便我了解到大部分人的想法，并决定对策。对于选股，我依然认为好的选股方法只有一种就可以了，不论长中短线，方法都是这个，万变不离其宗嘛。 　　

条件一：不同的大势有不同的选择。升势的时候选择板块类的个股；盘整的时候突破的个股比较好；跌势的时候我是不会做板块的，即使做了，那些除了龙头股以外的个股也不会跟着被带上来。 　　

条件二：选择龙头股。假如在领头的股票身上赚不到钱又怎能在别的股票身上赚钱呢？即使我要做整个板块，也是有一只的筹码比较集中的作为领头羊。同样的，即使是超跌反弹等行情也都是有筹码最集中的。 　　

条件三：尽量在尾盘买。这样一天的图形做完了，可以简单的看出我们的意图而不会被迷惑。 　　

条件四：不要被大阳线吓倒。涨幅居前的股票总有几只在明、后天还会好的。 　　

条件五：参考大盘。大盘的分析比个股简单的多，牛市阳多阴长，熊市阴多阳长。 　　

条件六：不要相信越跌越买的言论。经过风险的量化可以发现，越跌越买比越涨越买的风险大得多。如果跌到止损位，果断卖出。 　　

条件七：顺势而为。但要明白物极必反的道理，涨了五六天的股票明天还会涨吗？要点：所有所有的一切，成交量换手率　相对较大都是非常重要的，我甚至很喜欢买当天的换手率有１５％－２０％以上的股票。这也关系到你在获利后是否可以顺利出局相对于资金量比较大的人来说　。 　　

一些简单的经验：高位拉出下影线不要以为是好事情，有可能是因为我在出了一部分筹码之后再次拉上来为我明天继续出货做准备。 　　

高位横盘或拉升之后尾市下跌，或下跌之后尾市拉升恐怕都是近期出货的迹象，尤其后者表明已经无心恋战了

黄老大的日交易in/out技巧

黄老大的日交易in/out技巧
IN 5min charts

1. MA10>MA50

2. price retreat or consolidate-->STO down (to below 30?)

MACD spread wide clearly price under MA10, still well above MA50

3. Buy 1st MA10 break (most effective if wavely down a few times, or triangles)

Mostly work from mid-day. Get out in 1min chart if STO/MACD show weakness.