指标的离散度是把握涨跌的唯一要素

指标的离散度是把握涨跌的唯一要素
Bolllinger Band 的宽度变化（价格方差）应该有一样的效果吧 - 野狐禅 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 也许指标的离散度是把握涨跌的唯一要素 云游股海 六级MACD会员 2007-1-19 21:08

自1999年入市以来，经历了三年多牛市，四年熊市。对股市的涨涨跌跌看多了，也麻木了。 真正掌握到在股市赚钱的规律是在2004年，经过多年的大亏损和小盈利，学习了很多炒股理论，但真正能给自己创造效益的还是自己悟出的离散度理论。

2004年底，根据自创的离散度理论，终于把握住了赚钱的精髓，开始盈利了。各个顶低判断都非常准确，交易过程中采用快进快出的方法，开始买十赚七，到了2005年基本上能做到买十赚八。吼吼，到了2006年，交易中就很少失手了。

所谓的离散度理论，就是长短周期的指标离散状态。如果离散状态很小，则股价要么很高或者很低了，当离散度小于一定值时，拐点一定出现，在拐点附近买入，基本上当天就可以获利，最差的也就是两天获利。 离散度小不一定就涨或者跌，必须和其他相关概念相结合判断才能有80％的正确性。

比如，离散度很小时，要判断指标的正背离，负背离，正完美，负完美。正背离和正完美成立时，上涨或下跌几乎是百分之百的。而负完美和负背离则是杂波信号，很容易使人误入歧途，套牢在半山腰上。 啰啰唆唆的讲了这些，是想启发一下有志于股票研究的tx参考。多的我就不说了，可以说，我现在的成功率非常高，完全可以以炒股为生，但由于自己有自己的工厂，每年的收益很不错，所以在2006年实际炒作股票的6个月时间里，盈利超过80％，应该说，超过了很多所谓的基金操盘手。

关键词：指标离散度，指标的正背离，负背离，正完美，负完美。

实际上现在我真的对炒股没有什么激情了，我觉得炒指数期货比较有意思，还有就是玩权证来的也快。 给大家看看离散方差的威力，以600022为例：图1 进一步分析： 图2 看看601398工商银行是怎么样暴涨的: 图3 再看：图4

对鸡大法

对积理论原理（一）---- 区间交易 zwx100 四级MACD会员 发表于 2007-3-26 20:21 把价格区间定为5%。 价格从一个阶段的最低点向上涨5%即一个价格区间后开始买入，然后每向上涨一个区间（5%）就再次买入一些，后面操作一次类推。这时候，股价大部分时候会向上创出新高（当然不是绝对的，只是一个大概率事件）。创出新高后，股价如果下跌一个区间，就全部卖出。这也就是很多高手采取的“右侧交易”，即“买在次低点，卖在次高点”。

一个swingtrade的pattern

trading strategy 004 - 3 masketeers

http://minnelli.com/forex Forex Auto

Ok with fx-auto I have selected 3 systems to run. I have limited the selection to only GBPUSD for right now.

System 1: ATRChannel - http://forexfiesta.com/systems_trend.htm

System 2: ForexFighterKO - http://www.forexfighter.com/

System 3: TheProfitClub - http://www.profits-club.com/?a=cust&page=performance

=========================================
Okay - Forex Fighter KO has been very good to me, 16 trades making 102 pips, net 86 pips after commissions. However, I have to shelf it for a week or so. I want to take a look at ForexFiesta C4, it appears to be a health EA (Expert Advisor) run by the same […]
==========================================

FX Autotrading a live account

So here we are ... account funded with $ 6000 and 5 signals selected (all with 0.1 lots):
- ForexFighter-KO - GBPUSD
- fxmaster.net - EURUSD
- Quants-MP40 - GBPJPY
- Ubertrading.com - EURJPY
- Ubertrading.com - GBPUSD

==============================
out: - Ubertrading.com - EURJPY
- Ubertrading.com - GBPUSD
in:- ATRChannel - GBPUSD
================================
So the new portfolio (portfolio 2) is now (all with 0.1 lots):
- ForexFighter-KO - GBPUSD
- fxmaster.net - EURUSD
- Quants-MP40 - GBPJPY
- ATRChannel - GBPUSD
===================================
So the new portfolio is now (all with 0.1 lots):
- ForexFighter-KO - GBPUSD
- fxmaster.net - EURUSD
- Quants-MP40 - GBPJPY
- ATRChannel - GBPUSD
- EspritFX - EURJPY
- EspritFX - GBPUSD
=======================================
fxmaster.net always wanted to go against the trend ...
So the new portfolio is now (all with 0.1 lots):
- ForexFighter-KO - GBPUSD
- Quants-MP40 - GBPJPY
- ATRChannel - GBPUSD
- EspritFX - EURJPY
- EspritFX - GBPUSD

=========================
1- SNIPER 4X (I guess that this is the same as SniperFX on fx-auto, new there since mid-april): very impressive track record on C2 since jan2007: Compound Annual %: 389.1% over 126 days

2- Team Aphid Bird (we have that one on fx-auto): quite impressive on C2: Compound Annual %: 161.6% over 142 days

3- Forex Fighter KO (in my portfolio), doing very very strong on C2: Compound Annual %: 227.8% over 320 days

4- Positive Forex (not yet on fx-auto - would be an excellent addition), this is a topper on C2: Compound Annual %: 300.3% over 400 days

C2 does a great job in graphics & analysis ... (but hate the google ads - that makes it look so cheap..) ... but it still not clear to me how to autotrade using their system ... will look into that later.

Cheers, FX245.

=================================
Attached are the top 20 forex signals on C2 according to the Sharpe ratio. some are quite new (say less then 40 trades), so we disregard them for the moment ... the top 12 therefor is:

- team aphid bird (on fx-auto)
- Sniper FX (on fx-auto)
- ForexEmail (on fx-auto)
- Positive Forex (not on fx-auto)
- Gold Survivor Forex Port (not on fx-auto)
- Bulls-Eye Trade Signals (not on fx-auto)
- VN Forex Club (not on fx-auto)
- EdCheong FX (not on fx-auto)
- Forex Fighter KO (on fx-auto)
- Trend Trader (not on fx-auto)
- LTR FX (not on fx-auto)
- FX Paradise (not on fx-auto)
======================================

RIMM 两个月期权交易总结

1，ebay call35 靠 输，股票赢。
2，bidu call 靠赢11倍，第二次1倍，赢钱排第四
3，ffiv call赢3倍
4，goog call 8赢1输，赢钱排第二
5.crox4倍，6次全赢，赢钱排第三
6，ma call 8 倍 ，赢最多钱。
7，lvs call 输最少
8，sina call赢1倍，输25%，赢。
9，fcmn call 赢40%
10,fwlt call 赢50%
11，aapl call 赢100%
12，nyx call2赢2输，平
13，shld call由赢变输2次，输最多。
14. onxx call5赢2输，赢
15，xing call 3.5倍
16，cme call 赢5倍
17，ice call1赢1输，平
18，grmn call赢60%
19，bwld call赢50%
20，flsr call 赢70%
21，amzn call赢7 倍，2次全赢
22，ccj call赢55%
23，cnx call赢45%
24.joyg call赢40%
25，zolt call赢35%
26，wfr call赢60%
27，rmbs call输85%
28，leap call赢120%
29，ntri call 4赢1输，赢
30，isrg call 5赢 1输，赢
31，ati call 1赢2输，输
32，lfc call 赢45%
33，snp call 输90%、、
收手2个月准备全家回老家福州，11年哪！再见了大千股友们！祝大家发财！