你们不要压力太大哟！ 小心得癌症

你们不要压力太大哟！ 小心得癌症。
================================

长期从事电脑工作的人，由于辐射和室内工作环境的影响，
很容易产生身体的免疫系统衰弱，各种的癌症就会发生。

建议大家做到以下几点：
１。工作减压，不要把名利看得太重，
“三分天注定，七分靠打拼”， 也说明了有３０％不是靠
人的努力决定的，是运气。

２。每天坚持 半小时以上的有养运动，出汗为止，
提高身体的免疫机能。

３，均衡的饮食：荤素搭配，不要偏事物，不要酗酒和抽烟。
“你年轻是不注意身体， 过中年身体就不注意你了。”

“留得身体在，股票总能赚！”

美国市场上所有的 ETF 列表

US Indexes
DIA Dow30
DDM Dow30 2x long
DOG Dow30 short
DXD Dow30 2x short

ONEQ Nasdaq

QQQQ Nasdaq100
QLD Nasdaq100 2x long
PSQ Nasdaq100 short
QID Nasdaq100 2x short

OEF SP100
IOO SP100 Global

SPY SP500
SSO SP500 2x long
SH SP500 short
SDS SP500 2x short
IVV SP500
IWV SP500 Growth
IVE SP500 Value

MDY SP400
IJH SP400
MVV SP400 2x long
MYY SP400 short
MZZ SP400 2x short
IJK SP400 Growth
IJJ SP400 Value

IJR SP600
SDD SP600 2x short
IJT SP600 Growth
IJS SP600 Value

IWB Russell1000
IWF Russell1000 Growth
SFK Russell1000 Growth 2x short
IWD Russell1000 Value
SJF Russell1000 Value 2x short
BGU Russell1000 3x long
BGZ Russell1000 3x short
ERX Russell1000 Energy 3x long
ERY Russell1000 Energy 3x short
FAS Russell1000 Financials 3x long
FAZ Russell1000 Financials 3x short

IWM Russell2000
UWM Russell2000 2x long
TNA Russell2000 3x long
RWM Russell2000 short
TWM Russell2000 2x short
TZA Russell2000 3x short
IWO Russell2000 Growth
SKK Russell2000 Growth 2x short
IWN Russell2000 Value
SJH Russell2000 Value 2x short

IWV Russell3000
IWZ Russell3000 Growth
IWW Russell3000 Value

IWC Russell MicroCap
IWR Russell MidCap
IWP Russell MidCap Growth
SDK Russell MidCap Growth 2x short
IWS Russell MidCap Value
SJL Russell MidCap Value 2x short

VTI Vanguard Total Market
VUG Vanguard Growth
VTV Vanguard Value
VV Vanguard Large Cap
VO Vanguard MidCap
VB Vanguard SmallCap
VBK Vanguard SmallCap Growth
VBR Vanguard SmallCap Value

PWB Dynamic Large Cap
PWJ Dynamic MidCap Growth
DVY Dow Select Dividend

RSP Rydex SP Equal Weight

Word Indexes
EWA Australia
EWO Austria
EWK Belgium
EWZ Brazil
BIK BRIC 40
EWC Canada
FXI China
GXC China
PGJ China
CHN China
FXP China 2x short
EEB BRIC
EWQ France
EWG Germany
EWH Hong Kong
INP India
IFN India
EWI Italy
EWJ Japan
EWV Japan 2x short
EWM Malaysia
EWW Mexico
RSX Russia
EWS Singapore
EZA South Africa
EWY South Korea
EWP Spain
EWD Sweden
EWL Switzerland
EWT Taiwan
EWU United Kingdom

ILF Latin American 40
EPP Pacific ex-Japan
VGK European
FEZ Euro STOXX 50
IEV Europe 350
VEA Europe Pacific
VEU All World ex-USA
VPL Pacific
IOO Global 100

EEM Emerging Markets
VWO Emerging Markets
ADRE Emerging Markets 50
EUM Emerging Markets short
EEV Emerging Markets 2x short

PID Int'l Dividend Achievers

Commodities
XLB Materials
IYM Basic Materials
SMN Basic Materials 2x short
GSG Commodities
RJI Commodities
DBC Commodities
RJA Commodities - Ag
DBA Commodities - Ag
UCD Commodities 2x long
CMD Commodities 2x short

GDX Gold
GLD Gold
IAU Gold
DGP Gold 2x long
UGL Gold 2x long
DZZ Gold 2x short
GLL Gold 2x short

SLV Silver
AGQ Silver 2x long
ZSL Silver 2x short

XME Metals & Mining
IGE Natural Resources
SLX Steel
KOL Coal
DBB Base Metals

PHO Water Resources
CGW Claymore SP Global Water

IYE Energy
XLE Energy
OIH Oil Services
XOP Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
DIG Oil & Gas 2x long
DUG Oil & Gas 2x short
USO United States Oil
IEO US Oil & Gas
UNG United States Natural Gas
UCO Crude Oil 2x long
SCO Crude oil 2x short

US Sectors
PPA Aerospace & Defense
KBE Banks
IAT "Banks, Regional"
KRE "Banks, Regional"
RKH "Banks, Regional"
BBH Biotech
XBI Biotech
BDH Broadband
IAI Broker-Dealers
KCE Capital Markets
PBW Clean Energy
XLY Consumer Discretionary
SZK Consumer Goods 2x short
IYC Consumer Services
SCC Consumer Services 2x short
XLP Consumer Staples
IYG Financial Services
IYF Financials
VFH Financials
XLF Financials
UYG Financials 2x long
SKF Financials 2x short
MOO Global Agribusiness
XLV Health Care
RXD Health Care 2x short
IHF Healthcare Provider
ITB Home Construction
XHB Home Construction
XLI Industrials
SIJ Industrials 2x short
VGT Information Technology
KIE Insurance
HHH Internet
IAH Internet Architecture
IBB Nasdaq Biotech
IGN Networking
PPH Pharmaceutical
IYR Real Estate
RWX Real Estate
URE Real Estate 2x long
SRS Real Estate 2x short
ICF Realty Majors
RWR REIT
VNQ REIT
RTH Retail
XRT Retail
IGW Semiconductors
SMH Semiconductors
SSG Semiconductors 2x short
IGV Software
SWH Software
IGM Technology
IYW Technology
XLK Technology
REW Technology 2x short
IYZ Telecom
TTH Telecom
IYT Transports
UTH Utilities
XLU Utilities
SDP Utilities 2x short

Currencies
FXA Australian Dollar
FXB British Pound Sterling
FXC Canadian Dollar
FXE Euro
FXY Japanese Yen
FXM Mexican Peso
FXS Swedish Krona
FXF Swiss Franc
ULE Euro 2x long
EUO Euro 2x short
YCL Yen 2x long
YCS Yen 2x short

Fixed Income
AGG Aggregate Bond
BND Total Bond Market
BWX Intl Treasury Bond
IEF Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
LQD Invest Grade Corp Bond
SHY 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
TIP TIPS Bond
TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond

三倍杠杆ETFs：BGU TNA ERX FAS v.s. BGZ TZA ERY FAZ

The new triple leveraged Direxion funds:
* (BGU) Bull 3x Shares Large Cap
* (TNA) Bull 3x Shares Small Cap
* (ERX) Bull 3x Shares Energy
* (FAS) Bull 3x Shares Financial　　
－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－－
* (BGZ) Bear 3x Shares Large Cap
* (TZA) Bear 3x Shares Small Cap
* (ERY) Bear 3x Shares Energy
* (FAZ) Bear 3x Shares Financial
These 3 beta ETFs are created for pros, sophisticated investors and active ST/DTers to hedge or leverage their trading power. Obviously, they are not made for the faint of heart due to the extreme price volatility.

Price Action

Very important advice from hypostomus! Draw these support and resistance lines in your chart before you even take a trade, Dobbes. The 15m, 1h, and daily charts will help you to identify them. To learn price action you need a little background information:The market is a battleground for buyers and sellers. These two opposing groups come together every day and challenge each other to gain and retain control over the market. Now if you wake up one morning seeing that price is aggressively moving down, obviously sellers possess ferocious power. Going long, or even scalping on the long side is thus more challenging. If price is being rejected at resistance, sellers are starting to gain control and buyers will not come in until support is reached. Those minor swings you observe on the way down are just reactions, nothing more. They are not buying opportunites! You can observe this cycle in any market and this knowledge is what an experienced trader exploits to make a fortune.Thoroughly read through what I wrote above again and you have a jumpstart toward learning price action. Now comes your screen time. Practice, practice.

mark1

11-22-07 09:46 AMDisclaimer, the stuff I'm about to write is more an internal dialogue than anything else, Hope someone will find it helpful, ignore the awful English ;-)A few thoughts about AHG: So you were lucky enough to find a great guy (Anek), who in the spirit of sharing , wanted to teach you a system in other words he gave you for free his edge.Then how do you proceed in order to learn and become proficent with this sys?First the easy part (no disrispect Anek, you know as an experienced trader, I'm telling the truth).Learn to recognize a market structure HH HL & LH LL (MS)with a glance , at this stage it doesn't matter if your base chart shows a MS in a downtrend and your anchor chart shows a retracement of an uptrend, stick with your base chart and learn to spot the freaking MS, can you count to 4? End of the course...say what?Yup once you are gone through all the madness of trying to refine the basic system , because you are farking always looking for the perfect sys aren't you? Yup the one that never fails and gives you 100 winners out of 100 trades (c'mon make me laugh and tell me it's not true. I tell you what is true ,even if your head tells you it's not possible, your subconscious is always trying to outsmart the system), you' ll go back to lesson 1 and you realize it was really all you needed to know, but using this knowledge with discipline and truly accepting the concept of propabilities, is the difference between a winner and a loser. So the long journey is almost unavoidable.More about this later.Ok MS is now crystal clear, what's next , Supports and Resistances these are the core of trading , if you think about it each pattern each structure is the product of support and resistance, buying low selling high, shorting high covering low. Price action.A confirmed support or resistance is made by price rejected at the same area where it formed a previous pivot point.Once Resistance is violated it becomes possible Support, it becomes confirmed support when the price is rejected at the same area. Flip the concept for Support.DoubleTops, Double Bottoms and their failure, easy concept right? no need to explain further.W's and M's, very similar to DB and DT , ok good.Head & Shoulder and failure <---- you need screentime to recognize this powerful formation, it's well worth it.Triangles, Coils, Wedges whatever you name them, you know what they look like, we showed a lot here, you have seen how brutal they can be...kaboom :-)Congestion, Trading Ranges, Rectangular formation, you've seen them, you know you expect a breakout/down. Trendlines and Channels, a trend line is formed when you can draw a diagonal line between two or more price pivot points these alone give you an edge, I' ve seen traders making a living just by selling and buying trendline breaks,and I've seen traders making a living just by buying and selling trendline rejections, if you want to know how to draw channels with points 1,2,3 , I'll post a chart.Ok , now you know all the weapons in your arsenal, so you should be a winner , no problem....Slow down warrior that was the easy stuff.

11-22-07 09:46 AM
Disclaimer, the stuff I'm about to write is more an internal dialogue than anything else, Hope someone will find it helpful, ignore the awful English ;-)A few thoughts about AHG: So you were lucky enough to find a great guy (Anek), who in the spirit of sharing , wanted to teach you a system in other words he gave you for free his edge.Then how do you proceed in order to learn and become proficent with this sys?First the easy part (no disrispect Anek, you know as an experienced trader, I'm telling the truth).Learn to recognize a market structure HH HL & LH LL (MS)with a glance , at this stage it doesn't matter if your base chart shows a MS in a downtrend and your anchor chart shows a retracement of an uptrend, stick with your base chart and learn to spot the freaking MS, can you count to 4? End of the course...say what?Yup once you are gone through all the madness of trying to refine the basic system , because you are farking always looking for the perfect sys aren't you? Yup the one that never fails and gives you 100 winners out of 100 trades (c'mon make me laugh and tell me it's not true. I tell you what is true ,even if your head tells you it's not possible, your subconscious is always trying to outsmart the system), you' ll go back to lesson 1 and you realize it was really all you needed to know, but using this knowledge with discipline and truly accepting the concept of propabilities, is the difference between a winner and a loser. So the long journey is almost unavoidable.More about this later.Ok MS is now crystal clear, what's next , Supports and Resistances these are the core of trading , if you think about it each pattern each structure is the product of support and resistance, buying low selling high, shorting high covering low. Price action.A confirmed support or resistance is made by price rejected at the same area where it formed a previous pivot point.Once Resistance is violated it becomes possible Support, it becomes confirmed support when the price is rejected at the same area. Flip the concept for Support.DoubleTops, Double Bottoms and their failure, easy concept right? no need to explain further.W's and M's, very similar to DB and DT , ok good.Head & Shoulder and failure <---- you need screentime to recognize this powerful formation, it's well worth it.Triangles, Coils, Wedges whatever you name them, you know what they look like, we showed a lot here, you have seen how brutal they can be...kaboom :-)Congestion, Trading Ranges, Rectangular formation, you've seen them, you know you expect a breakout/down. Trendlines and Channels, a trend line is formed when you can draw a diagonal line between two or more price pivot points these alone give you an edge, I' ve seen traders making a living just by selling and buying trendline breaks,and I've seen traders making a living just by buying and selling trendline rejections, if you want to know how to draw channels with points 1,2,3 , I'll post a chart.Ok , now you know all the weapons in your arsenal, so you should be a winner , no problem....Slow down warrior that was the easy stuff. To be continued
11-22-07 12:23 PM
Part 2If you have been following this thread it should be quite clear that buying and selling a confirmed MS is really all you need to do to make money, yes there are refinements like pattern recogniton and tape reading, sure.Yes I'm pretty bold here and I challenge you, go back and look at 3 months of 1000v or even 1 minute charts and buy and sell every confirmed MS HH-HLx2 LL-LHx2 you see on your chart, heck give it some margin and apply1 point of slippage to enter and 1 points to exit plus commissions. (man your execution sucks ).Define a rule to enter a trade (engulfing bar, break of n ticks below/above previous pivot, choose one...) and stick with it, ALWAYS.Close your position only when the trend has confirmed a reversal with a MS on the opposite direction.Skip the dead zone(11:30,14:00), not compulsory though.Yup you have several small losses, several B/E and a few huge winners, in the end you are profitable (gee just like Anek said...)Ok now you start papertrading, because you need to internalize the system, your execution has to be flawless, but something unexpected happens. You are not able to stick to the plan, you are counting every tick like this was the trade of your life, you just experienced a streak of small losing trades and you are not able to click the T button again. You enter a trade and you see a few $$ in your P&L and you feel the urge to close the trade, you actually sell without a real confirmation of change of the trend. Sometimes you think you were smart, because you saved a few points, but when the real move comes you are out way to soon and all the points you saved now are just peanuts compared to what you missed.Jesus, so what do you do? You start again, you read everything you can about the market, you study market analysis with obsession, you add (god forgive you) a new indicator, heck let's make it 3 new indicators. "If i know everything there's to know about the market I won't experience a streak of losses, that's my goal. Losing is an awful feeling, I want to avoid that with all my strenght, I want to be right, that's what my parents, my friends, the freaking society taught me, I need to be right to be succesful." ( Dead of a trader)Man and this is only papertrading, think what will happen when money is on the line.So how do we shut down this internal voice?I'll try to define with the help of Mr. M Douglas what an edge is and the probability game.Let's start from the beginning.What's the market? At its basic level the mkt is a series of up and down tics that form patterns and MS.You recognize these patterns and you know that there is a higher probability the mkt will move in one direction over the other, this is your edge.But here is where the problem lies, a pattern in our subconscious implies a consistent outcome, but the reality is each pattern is a unique moment of the mkt, it may look exactly like other patterns you have seen before, but the underlying force behind a pattern are traders, and traders who contribuite to the formation of one pattern and their rational to enter a trade, are always different from the previous pattern.Remember it takes just one trader, just one to produce a failed pattern or a confirmed pattern, how can you expect to know what the outcome of that particular, unique trade is if just one trader can change everything, you can try to learn all the TA you like you can try to read the minds of all the traders in the mkt (good luck with that)You don't know what the outcome of one trade will be, nobody knows, you don't know if the next trade will be a winner or a loser, nobody knows.What does it mean? It means that the distribuition of winning and losing trades is random, it means the outcome of a pattern/trade is completely random relative to one another.You should start thinking like a Casino or a professional gambler, they know they have an edge even a small one (i think a casino has about a 3-4% edge, not sure about the precise figure), they don't try to predict or know in advance the outcome of each individual event, they know that given a large enough number of events their edge will work.Once you truly internalize this concept, the fear of trading will go away and you'll let the mkt tell you what to do, you 've entered the ZONE. (yes it sounds easy ehe, 5 % can make it, it's not easy)I'm not talking about you, you. I'm talking about the little sucker inside you, the one who tries to predict the future, the one who knows that the nasdaq is going to tank if it goes to 2100, the one who swear at the end of the day because it was scared to trade the never ending trend. You have an edge, trade the farking edge.geez I'm good

熊市获利的锐利武器 -- 11 种超反向EFTs

上周五由于出乎预料的 Job Report 触发了大盘大跌。新年开始的第一周，三大指数已经分别累计下跌了：Dow 13261/12800 -461 -3.4%, S&P 1467/1411, -56， -3.8% Nasdaq 2653/2504, -150, -5.6% 创下了多年来第一周下跌的新纪录。这波跌势，可以追索到去年10月上旬。更危险的是主要市场指数都跌破了各自的关键支撑，而市场情绪还远未达到极端，Rydex Nova/Ursa Ratio (牛/熊基金）在一周多前还创了新高。种种迹象表明这种趋势还将继续较长时间。TA 和波段周期分析表明这一波跌势会持续到三月底。市场的运动总是波澜起伏的，但总趋势是跌多涨少，直到第一季度末。从更大的范围看，这波下降还是6 年牛市的中期调整，（从去年十月算6 个月）从第二季度开始，市场会逐步恢复，并在年底之前再创新高。

面对中期小型熊市，投资者不应惊慌，而要做好应变的准备。提高现金水平，少动多看，将资金转到抗跌的板块中去。这些都是常用的措施。但都是被动的。覆巢之下，焉有完卵？虽然是少跌，但还是会跌，无处可藏。这里介绍一个以攻为守的主动方法，在熊市中会更有效果。
在熊市获利的锐利武器就是超反向ETFs ( Exchange Trading Fund) 下面的 11 种ETFs 都是Beta 2 的超反向ETFs。即指数或正向基金跌一点， 超反向ETFs 涨两点。相信其中的一些 ETF 很多人已经知道了。不要小看这些 超反向ETFs，如果应用得当，也会获利惊人的。以昨天为例：Dow -1.98%, S&P -2.46%, QQQQ -4.3%, RUT - 3.14% , 而相应的超反向EFTs 获利回报为：大盘指数超反向EFTs 1/4/08 一天的回报
QID Ultrashort QQQQ +3.55/42.45 +9%
TWM Ultrashort Russell 2000 +5.11/78.49 +6.94%
SDS Ultrashort S&P500 +2.63/57.85 +4.76%
DXD Ultrashort Dow 30 +2.17/53.65 +4.22%MZZ Ultrashort MidCap400 +3.15/59.8 +5.56%

再看 TWM, SDS, QID 三个月的表现，从10/4 到 1/4 它们的回报分别为：27%，17%，和 10.5% （见图）
TWM, SDS, QID 三个月回报率比较

专业板块超反向EFTs 1/4/08 一天的回报
SSG ultrashort semiconductor +7.36/70.25 11.7%
REW UltraShort Technology +5.10/60.90 +9.05%
EEV UltraShort Emerging Mrkts +4.93/78.99 +6.51%
SRS UltraShort Real Estate +7.56/127.25 +6.32%
SKF UltraShort Financials +5.8 /112.29 +5.42%
SCC ultrasort consumer +4.2/96 +4.6%

专业板块超反向EFTs 的回报更是惊人，以SRS, SKF 和 SSG 为例，从十月起，三个月的回报分别为：55%，52% 和 38% （见图) 实际上，Real Estate 板块已经进入熊市两年，Financials 板块也已经进入熊市十个月了。要择机入市并不难。
SSG, SKF, SRS 三个月回报率比较

Monday: Market ClosedTuesday: Earnings Before: ABK**, BAC**, CSX, DD, FITB, JEC, JNJ**, UNH, WB Earnings After: AAPL**, NSC, TXN Eco: Richmond Fed

Wednesday: Earnings Before: ABT, COH, COP, DAL, GD, LUV, MOT**, PFE**, STJ, UTX Earnings After: COF, EBAY, GILD, SOV, SYMC Eco: Mortgage applications

Thursday: Earnings Before: DHR, F**, KMB, LEN, LMT, NOK, T**, TXT, XRX Earnings After: AMGN**, BRCM, ETFC, JAVA, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT** Eco: Existing Home Sales

Friday: Earnings Before: CAT**, HOG, HON** Earnings After: NONE